Impact of Undocumented Populations on 2010 Congressional Reapportionment
On September 20th, 2007, CtSDC released a report covering two scenarios for the 2010 Apportionment of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives.Click on each image for printable PDF.
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The first scenario assumes that Census 2010 counts all undocumented residents in all states. Our findings indicate that the settlement pattern of undocumented populations will increase Congressional seats in Southern border states (AZ, TX, FL) while Northern and Midwestern states (MI, IL, MO, OH, NY) will lose seats.
A concurrent finding is that undocumented populations appear to distort the relative voting power of all citizens nationwide. This occurs because in some states each Congressional seat would represent fewer citizens who can vote in proportion to states that lack settlement from undocumented persons.
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The second scenario assumes that undocumented residents might not be included in the count for U.S. Representative apportionment. In this scenario, six Northern and Midwestern states (MA, NY, NJ, PA, OH and IA) lose only six seats between them. Exclusion of undocumented poulations could (1) mute the geographic shift shown in Map 4 and (2) have only Florida gain another seat.
Posted August 26 - Dec. 17, 2007>
Coordinate Local Update of Census Addresses (LUCA) in Your Community
August 26 - Dec. 12, 2007
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Preparing for 2010 Census in Connecticut| 2007 | LUCA invitation & Registrations mailed to towns - 8/07/2007 |
| LUCA Tech Training in Connecticut: 8/15/07 - 9/30/07 | |
| LUCA Registrations - Critical date: Nov. 19, 2007 / Final deadline: Dec. 31, 2007 | |
| LUCA Address Collection from Municipalities: Sept. 2007 - April 4, 2008 |
| 2008 | Census reviews LUCA input & updates Master Address File (MAF): 4/2008 - 10/2008 {No input} |
| Census conducts Address Canvassing (ACC): 11/2008 - 5/2007 {No input} | |
| Census reviews ACC input and updated MAF: 4/2008 - 10/2009 {No input} |
| 2009 | Census compares LUCA input with ACC and reports to LUCA Towns: 6/2009 - 10/2009 {No input} |
| LUCA Towns appeal MAF changes: 9/2008 - 12/2009 | |
| U.S. OMB determines MAF appeals: 9/2009 - 1/2010 |
| 2010 | Census mails Short Forms to households: March 2010 |
American Community Survey (ACS) releases 2006 data
Census 2010 will not include a long form.The socio-economic data previously collected on the long-form every ten years
has been replaced with the annual American Community Survey (ACS).
ACS functions as an ongoing perennial survey of population, housing, economic
and income statistics. ACS will provide yearly updated socio-economic data
for communities with a population of 65,000 and larger. Communities with populations between
20,000 and 65,000 will obtain updated data every 3 years. The remaining communities, with population
less than 20,000, will obtain updated data every 5 years.
On August 28th, ACS released 2006 personal income data for Connecticut's statewide
population and the eight towns with populations over 65,000: Bridgeport, Danbury, Hartford,
New Britain, New Haven, Norwalk, Stamford, and Waterbury. Read the full Press Release.
Although having updated socio-economic data on a 1-, 3-, and 5-year period is a marked
improvement over the decennial "long form", there are considerable drawbacks to ACS data.
Posted Tuesday, August 28, 2007.
To help communities support and participate in the
U.S. Census Local Update of Census Addresses (LUCA),
the Boston Regional office is sponsoring Technical Training workshops in Connecticut to describe how
Census will process input on the Census “Master Address File” (MAF). It is hard to over-emphasize the importance of participating in
the initial stages of the 2010 Census, to work to assure as accurate and authoritative population counts as possible,
that are the foundation for significant federal-to-state funding that flows into Connecticut. Communities will start to receive their “offer letters” by
mid-August 2007 from the Census Bureau. We encourage each community
to find a person or team to take responsibility to provide feedback
to Census and partner in developing the most accurate Master Address File (MAF), the primary
basis of the surveys mailed to every household in March 2010. Technical Training programs are being offered in advance of the community letters,
to help town officers and managers understand the requirements, when they
consider who will take responsibility within their town government for
the LUCA process. The LUCA program will be offered in either paper lists
or electronic files, based on the Census Bureau’s current Address List.
All citizens are welcome to attend these sessions.
Our analysis of the
just-released
2005 County Business Patterns in Connecticut from the U.S. Census show Connecticut gained more
than 1,950 businesses compared with the recent low in 2003, to reach a record high of 93,561. However,
these 1,950 new businesses employed 26,000 fewer workers than during peak employment in 2002.
Furthermore, the total number of employees in 2005, at 1,529,827, is at the same level as in 1999,
at 1,530,539. Consequently, while Connecticut has reached a new high in the number of business
establishments, there is not a concomitant growth in the employed workforce.
Read the complete text of the Press Release.
Posted Thurs, June 7, 2007.
Connecticut Population Projections were published on May 16, 2007
(Read the Press Release), after a hiatus of at least a decade.
LUCA 2007 Technical Workshops in Connecticut
If you have any questions regarding the content or venue, please contact
Connecticut Gains Firms, Not Jobs
Population Projections Released
Using these Projections
Various components of the projections, such as counts for
individual towns, might not sum to counts for larger areas such
as counties or the state. Statistical methods were used to
optimize extrapolations for each separate geographic level.
Posted Tues, May 15, 2007 @ 6pm ET
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